May 'Flash Crash': Blame the Computer!

While the effort of the regulator in telling the story about the infamous May 2010 stock market 'flash crash' has to be applauded, it leaves the reader with no clear message about what is being done to prevent a similar debacle taking place in the future. The amount of selling unleashed by the presumed perpetrator - Waddell & Reed Financial, courtesy Barclays Capital - is not particularly large given the stupendous amounts of money managed today's 'fiduciaries' on behalf of the investing public. $4.1 billion can easily be mustered by literally hundreds of players - especially given the amount of leverage that is available in the derivative markets. So while we may accept that the flash crash was simply due to inept trading execution we are left with a sneaking suspicion that other 'investors' with a more ruthless killing instinct may just set off the next crash on purpose in order to cash in during the ensuing panic. A similar mechanism was at work in the 2007-2009 credit crunch when speculators drove down the indices in the derivative market for mortgage and asset-backed securities. This created a 'death spiral' in the market for these assets which contributed to the near-collapse of the global banking system. Ironically, 'investors' who were prominent in that game and in some cases made billions out of this dislocation are still feted as heroes by the financial markets and assorted cheerleaders in the financial media.
(01/10/2010)

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